Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000688 0.000789 0.000895 0.001016 0.001150 0.001292 0.001455
2025-02-16 0.000522 0.000658 0.000814 0.001003 0.001225 0.001475 0.001777
2025-02-23 0.000442 0.000596 0.000780 0.001013 0.001297 0.001628 0.002041
2025-03-02 0.000382 0.000546 0.000751 0.001021 0.001360 0.001768 0.002289
2025-03-09 0.000320 0.000485 0.000700 0.000992 0.001370 0.001838 0.002450
2025-03-16 0.000270 0.000433 0.000653 0.000962 0.001375 0.001897 0.002595
2025-03-23 0.000238 0.000401 0.000630 0.000960 0.001412 0.001995 0.002789
2025-03-30 0.000211 0.000374 0.000609 0.000959 0.001449 0.002092 0.002982
2025-04-06 0.000185 0.000346 0.000585 0.000949 0.001471 0.002169 0.003149
2025-04-13 0.000161 0.000316 0.000556 0.000931 0.001479 0.002225 0.003288
2025-04-20 0.000150 0.000306 0.000555 0.000952 0.001543 0.002358 0.003532
2025-04-27 0.000138 0.000294 0.000549 0.000965 0.001595 0.002475 0.003758
2025-05-04 0.000120 0.000270 0.000524 0.000948 0.001602 0.002532 0.003903
2025-05-11 0.000104 0.000248 0.000498 0.000928 0.001604 0.002579 0.004037
2025-05-18 0.000096 0.000238 0.000493 0.000939 0.001653 0.002695 0.004267
2025-05-25 0.000087 0.000227 0.000485 0.000946 0.001694 0.002800 0.004484
2025-06-01 0.000075 0.000206 0.000458 0.000919 0.001681 0.002824 0.004585
2025-06-08 0.000064 0.000187 0.000431 0.000891 0.001665 0.002842 0.004677
2025-06-15 0.000057 0.000177 0.000421 0.000889 0.001690 0.002922 0.004860
2025-06-22 0.000051 0.000167 0.000411 0.000888 0.001717 0.003005 0.005048
2025-06-29 0.000045 0.000156 0.000397 0.000879 0.001729 0.003064 0.005202
2025-07-06 0.000039 0.000144 0.000379 0.000862 0.001725 0.003100 0.005321
2025-07-13 0.000037 0.000141 0.000382 0.000881 0.001786 0.003237 0.005595